hoop NC State

  
NC State              
W-L: (17- 4)  PR =    98.2555
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 213 H Washington              B10          ( 8-11, 92.1)     13-  0   
 214 A Indiana State           MV           ( 5- 8, 91.4)     10-  4   
 218 A Winthrop                BSO          ( 4- 5, 94.5)      7-  3   
 220 A Princeton               IVY          ( 2- 8, 89.7)      6-  4   
 221 A Princeton               IVY          ( 2- 8, 89.7)      0-  1   
 221 A Princeton               IVY          ( 2- 8, 89.7)     16-  1   
 224 A Richmond                A10          ( 6- 4, 91.5)     27-  0   
 225 A Akron                   MA           ( 3- 1, 90.6)     18-  3   
 227 A Sacred Heart            MAAC         ( 1- 6, 88.4)     17-  4   
 228 A Sacred Heart            MAAC         ( 1- 6, 88.4)     15-  5   
 301 A Sacred Heart            MAAC         ( 1- 6, 88.4)     13-  0   
 303 A Coastal Carolina        SB           (13- 7, 95.9)      6-  4   
 304 A Queens University       AS           ( 4-16, 89.7)      9-  2   
 306 A Lafayette               PAT          ( 1- 9, 87.8)      6- 11   
 307 A Lafayette               PAT          ( 1- 9, 87.8)     10-  4   
 308 A Lafayette               PAT          ( 1- 9, 87.8)     14-  4   
 310 A Elon                    CA           ( 9-12, 93.1)      0-  2   
 313 A Boston College          ACC          (12- 9, 95.5)      4-  2   
 314 A Boston College          ACC          (12- 9, 95.5)      5- 12   
 315 A Boston College          ACC          (12- 9, 95.5)      5-  1   
 317 H UNC Wilmington          CA           (14- 7, 96.7)     14-  2

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Washington             13- 0      13     6    +++    6.87
   214 A Indiana State          10- 4       6     7          -0.89
   218 A Winthrop                7- 3       4     4           0.21
   220 A Princeton               6- 4       2     9    ---   -6.53
   221 A Princeton              16- 1      15     9    +++    6.47
   224 A Richmond               27- 0      27     7    +++    8.22
   225 A Akron                  18- 3      15     8    +++    7.31
   227 A Sacred Heart           17- 4      13    10    +      3.16
   228 A Sacred Heart           15- 5      10    10           0.16
   301 A Sacred Heart           13- 0      13    10    +      3.16
   303 A Coastal Carolina        6- 4       2     2          -0.33
   304 A Queens University       9- 2       7     9          -1.56
   306 A Lafayette               6-11      -5    10    ---  -15.41
   307 A Lafayette              10- 4       6    10    --    -4.41
   308 A Lafayette              14- 4      10    10          -0.41
   310 A Elon                    0- 2      -2     5    ---   -7.16
   313 A Boston College          4- 2       2     3          -0.78
   314 A Boston College          5-12      -7     3    ---   -9.78
   315 A Boston College          5- 1       4     3           1.22
   317 H UNC Wilmington         14- 2      12     2    +++   10.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Princeton               6- 4       2     9    ---   -6.53
   306 A Lafayette               6-11      -5    10    ---  -15.41
   310 A Elon                    0- 2      -2     5    ---   -7.16
   314 A Boston College          5-12      -7     3    ---   -9.78
   307 A Lafayette              10- 4       6    10    --    -4.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Washington             13- 0      13     6    +++    6.87
   221 A Princeton              16- 1      15     9    +++    6.47
   224 A Richmond               27- 0      27     7    +++    8.22
   225 A Akron                  18- 3      15     8    +++    7.31
   317 H UNC Wilmington         14- 2      12     2    +++   10.42
   227 A Sacred Heart           17- 4      13    10    +      3.16
   301 A Sacred Heart           13- 0      13    10    +      3.16

NC State Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Binghamton	NC State			NC State
Bryant	NC State			NC State
Maine	NC State			NC State
New Jersey Institute	NC State			NC State
New Hamp.	NC State			NC State
UAlbany	NC State			NC State
UMBC	NC State			NC State
Massachusetts at Lowell	NC State		NC State 2- 1 vs 0- 1
Vermont	NC State			NC State
Charlotte	NC State			NC State
East Carolina	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	NC State
Florida Atlantic	NC State		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0)	NC State
Memphis	NC State			NC State
North Texas	NC State			NC State
Rice	NC State			NC State
South Florida	NC State			NC State
Temple	NC State			NC State
Tulane	NC State			NC State
Tulsa	NC State			NC State
UAB	NC State			NC State
UTSA	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Wichita State	NC State			NC State
Boston College	NC State	NC State
California	NC State			NC State
Clemson	NC State			NC State
Duke	NC State		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0)	NC State
Florida State	Florida State			Florida State
Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech			Georgia Tech
Louisville	NC State		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Miami of Florida	NC State			NC State
North Carolina	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	NC State
Notre Dame	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Pittsburgh	NC State			NC State
SMU	NC State			NC State
Stanford	NC State			NC State
Syracuse	NC State			NC State
Virginia Tech	NC State			NC State
Virginia	NC State			NC State
Wake Forest	NC State		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	NC State
Austin Peay	NC State			NC State
Bellarmine	NC State			NC State
Central Arkansas	NC State			NC State
Eastern Kentucky	NC State			NC State
Florida Gulf Coast	NC State		insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 0)	NC State
Jacksonville	NC State		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	NC State
Lipscomb	NC State			NC State
North Alabama	NC State			NC State
North Florida	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
Queens University	NC State	NC State
Stetson	NC State			NC State
West Georgia	NC State			NC State
Davidson	NC State			NC State
Dayton	NC State			NC State
Duquesne	NC State			NC State
Fordham	NC State		insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0)	NC State
George Mason	NC State			NC State
George Washington	NC State			NC State
La Salle	NC State			NC State
Loyola Chicago	NC State			NC State
Rhode Island	NC State			NC State
Richmond	NC State	NC State
Saint Joseph's	NC State			NC State
Saint Louis	NC State			NC State
St. Bonaventure	NC State			NC State
VCU	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
Butler	NC State			NC State
Creighton	NC State			NC State
DePaul	NC State			NC State
Georgetown	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
Marquette	NC State			NC State
Providence	NC State			NC State
Seton Hall	NC State		NC State 2- 1 vs 0- 1
St. John's	NC State			NC State
UConn	NC State		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1)	NC State
Villanova	NC State			NC State
Xavier	NC State			NC State
Eastern Washington	NC State			NC State
Idaho	NC State			NC State
Idaho State	NC State			NC State
Montana	NC State			NC State
Montana State	NC State			NC State
Northern Arizona	NC State			NC State
Northern Colorado	NC State			NC State
Portland State	NC State			NC State
Sacramento State	NC State			NC State
Weber State	NC State			NC State
Illinois	NC State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	NC State
Indiana	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Iowa	NC State			NC State
Maryland	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	NC State
Michigan	NC State			NC State
Michigan State	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
Minnesota	NC State			NC State
Nebraska	NC State			NC State
Northwestern	NC State		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0)	NC State
Ohio State	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Oregon	NC State			NC State
Penn State	NC State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	NC State
Purdue	NC State			NC State
Rutgers	NC State			NC State
UCLA	UCLA			UCLA
USC	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Washington	NC State	NC State
Wisconsin	NC State			NC State
Arizona	NC State			NC State
Arizona State	Arizona State			Arizona State
BYU	NC State			NC State
Baylor	NC State			NC State
Cincinnati	NC State			NC State
Colorado	NC State			NC State
Houston	NC State		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 0)	NC State
Iowa State	NC State			NC State
Kansas	NC State			NC State
Kansas State	Kansas State			Kansas State
Oklahoma State	NC State			NC State
TCU	NC State			NC State
Texas Tech	NC State			NC State
UCF	NC State			NC State
Utah	NC State			NC State
West Virginia	West Virginia			West Virginia
Charleston Southern	NC State		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1)	NC State
Gardner-Webb	NC State			NC State
High Point	NC State			NC State
Longwood	NC State		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	NC State
Presbyterian	NC State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	NC State
Radford	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
South Carolina Upstate	NC State			NC State
UNC Asheville	NC State			NC State
Winthrop	NC State	NC State
Cal State Fullerton	NC State			NC State
Cal State Northridge	NC State			NC State
Cal Poly	NC State			NC State
Cal State Bakersfield	NC State			NC State
Hawai'i	NC State			NC State
Long Beach State	NC State			NC State
UC Davis	NC State			NC State
UC Irvine	NC State			NC State
UC Riverside	NC State			NC State
UC San Diego	NC State			NC State
UC Santa Barbara	NC State			NC State
Campbell	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
Charleston	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Drexel	NC State			NC State
Elon	Elon	Elon
Hampton	NC State			NC State
Hofstra	NC State			NC State
Monmouth	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
North Carolina A&T	NC State		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	NC State
Northeastern	NC State			NC State
Stony Brook	NC State			NC State
Towson	NC State			NC State
UNC Wilmington	NC State	NC State
William & Mary	NC State		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Delaware	NC State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	NC State
Florida International	NC State		NC State 2- 1 vs 0- 1
Jacksonville State	NC State			NC State
Kennesaw State	NC State			NC State
Louisiana Tech	NC State			NC State
Liberty	NC State			NC State
Middle Tennessee	NC State			NC State
Missouri State	NC State			NC State
New Mexico State	NC State			NC State
Sam Houston	NC State			NC State
Texas-El Paso	NC State			NC State
Western Kentucky	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Cleveland State	NC State			NC State
Detroit Titans	NC State			NC State
Green Bay	NC State			NC State
Indiana-Purdue	NC State			NC State
Milwaukee	NC State			NC State
Northern Kentucky	NC State			NC State
Oakland	NC State			NC State
PFW	NC State			NC State
Robert Morris	NC State			NC State
Wright State	NC State			NC State
Youngstown State	NC State			NC State
Brown	NC State			NC State
Columbia	NC State			NC State
Cornell	NC State		NC State 2- 1 vs 0- 1
Dartmouth	NC State			NC State
Harvard	NC State			NC State
Pennsylvania	NC State			NC State
Princeton	NC State	NC State
Yale	NC State			NC State
Canisius	NC State			NC State
Fairfield	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	NC State
Iona	NC State			NC State
Manhattan	NC State			NC State
Marist	NC State			NC State
Merrimack	NC State		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	NC State
Mount St. Mary's	NC State			NC State
Niagara	NC State			NC State
Quinnipiac	NC State			NC State
Rider	NC State			NC State
Sacred Heart	NC State	NC State
Saint Peter's	NC State			NC State
Siena	NC State			NC State
Coppin State	NC State			NC State
Delaware State	NC State			NC State
Howard	NC State			NC State
Maryland-Eastern Shore	NC State			NC State
Morgan State	NC State			NC State
NC Central	NC State			NC State
Norfolk State	NC State			NC State
South Carolina State	NC State			NC State
Akron	NC State	NC State
Ball State	NC State			NC State
Bowling Green	NC State			NC State
Buffalo	NC State			NC State
Central Michigan	NC State			NC State
Eastern Michigan	NC State			NC State
Kent State	NC State			NC State
Massachusetts at Amherst	NC State			NC State
Miami	NC State		insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 2- 1)	NC State
Northern Illinois	NC State			NC State
Ohio	NC State			NC State
Toledo	NC State			NC State
Western Michigan	NC State			NC State
Belmont	NC State			NC State
Bradley	NC State			NC State
Drake	NC State			NC State
Evansville	NC State			NC State
Illinois State	NC State			NC State
Indiana State	NC State	NC State
Murray State	NC State			NC State
Northern Iowa	NC State			NC State
Southern Illinois	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
UIC	NC State			NC State
Valparaiso	NC State			NC State
Air Force	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
Boise State	NC State			NC State
Colorado State	NC State			NC State
Fresno State	NC State			NC State
Grand Canyon	NC State			NC State
Nevada	NC State			NC State
New Mexico	NC State			NC State
San Diego State	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
San José State	NC State			NC State
UNLV	NC State			NC State
Utah State	NC State			NC State
Wyoming	NC State			NC State
Eastern Illinois	NC State			NC State
Lindenwood	NC State			NC State
Little Rock	NC State			NC State
Morehead State	NC State			NC State
Southeast Missouri State	NC State			NC State
SIU Edwardsville	NC State			NC State
Southern Indiana	NC State			NC State
Tennessee Tech	NC State			NC State
Tenn State	NC State			NC State
UT Martin	NC State			NC State
Western Illinois	NC State			NC State
CCState	NC State			NC State
Chicago State	NC State			NC State
Fairleigh Dickinson	NC State			NC State
Long Island University	NC State			NC State
Le Moyne	NC State			NC State
Mercyhurst	NC State			NC State
New Haven	NC State			NC State
Saint Francis	NC State			NC State
Stonehill	NC State			NC State
Wagner	NC State			NC State
American	NC State			NC State
Army	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Boston University	NC State			NC State
Bucknell	NC State			NC State
Colgate	NC State			NC State
Holy Cross	NC State			NC State
Lafayette	NC State	NC State
Lehigh	NC State			NC State
Loyola-Maryland	NC State			NC State
Navy	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Alabama	NC State			NC State
Arkansas	NC State			NC State
Auburn	Auburn		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Auburn
Florida	NC State			NC State
Georgia	Georgia		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Georgia
Kentucky	NC State			NC State
LSU	NC State			NC State
Mississippi State	Mississippi State			Mississippi State
Missouri	NC State			NC State
Oklahoma	NC State			NC State
Ole Miss	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)	NC State
South Carolina	NC State		NC State 3- 1 vs 1- 1
Tennessee	NC State			NC State
Texas	Texas		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Texas
Texas A&M	Texas A&M			Texas A&M
Vanderbilt	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Chattanooga	NC State			NC State
East Tennessee State	NC State			NC State
Furman	NC State			NC State
Mercer	NC State			NC State
Samford	NC State			NC State
The Citadel	NC State			NC State
UNC Greensboro	NC State			NC State
VMI	NC State			NC State
Western Carolina	NC State			NC State
Wofford	NC State			NC State
ast Texas A&M	NC State			NC State
Houston Christian	NC State			NC State
Incarnate Word	NC State			NC State
Lamar	NC State			NC State
McNeese	NC State			NC State
New Orleans	NC State			NC State
Nicholls	NC State			NC State
Northwestern State	NC State			NC State
SE Louisiana	NC State			NC State
Stephen F. Austin	NC State			NC State
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	NC State			NC State
UT Rio Grande Valley	NC State			NC State
Alabama A&M	NC State			NC State
Alabama State	NC State			NC State
Alcorn State	NC State			NC State
Arkansas-Pine Bluff	NC State			NC State
Bethune-Cookman	NC State			NC State
Florida A&M	NC State			NC State
Grambling	NC State			NC State
Jackson State	NC State			NC State
Mississippi Valley State	NC State			NC State
Prairie View A&M	NC State			NC State
Southern	NC State			NC State
Texas Southern	NC State			NC State
Denver	NC State			NC State
Kansas City	NC State			NC State
North Dakota State	NC State			NC State
North Dakota	NC State			NC State
Omaha	NC State			NC State
Oral Roberts	NC State			NC State
South Dakota State	NC State			NC State
South Dakota	NC State			NC State
St. Thomas	NC State			NC State
App State	NC State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	NC State
Arkansas State	NC State			NC State
Coastal Carolina	NC State	NC State
Georgia Southern	NC State			NC State
Georgia State	NC State			NC State
James Madison	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
Louisiana	NC State			NC State
Marshall	NC State			NC State
Old Dominion	NC State			NC State
Southern Miss	NC State			NC State
South Alabama	NC State			NC State
Texas State	NC State			NC State
Troy	NC State			NC State
UL Monroe	NC State			NC State
Abilene Christian	NC State			NC State
Dixie State	NC State			NC State
California Baptist	NC State			NC State
Southern Utah	NC State			NC State
Tarleton State	NC State			NC State
UT Arlington	NC State			NC State
Utah Tech	NC State			NC State
Utah Valley	NC State			NC State
Gonzaga	NC State			NC State
Loyola Marymount	NC State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	NC State
Oregon State	NC State			NC State
Pacific	NC State			NC State
Pepperdine	NC State			NC State
Portland	NC State			NC State
Saint Mary's	NC State			NC State
San Diego	NC State			NC State
San Francisco	NC State			NC State
Santa Clara	NC State			NC State
Seattle U	NC State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	NC State
Washington State	NC State			NC State

PowerWise = 353

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.81

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Washington      ( 8-11, 92.1)    13- 0       -7.77       7.21      -0.01         0.51             7.41
   0 A Indiana State   ( 5- 8, 91.4)    10- 4       -8.55       6.43       0.01         0.51             6.63
   0 A Winthrop        ( 4- 5, 94.5)     7- 3       -5.44       9.53       0.01         0.51             9.82
   0 A Princeton       ( 2- 8, 89.7)     6- 4      -10.18       4.79       0.01         0.51             4.94
   0 A Princeton       ( 2- 8, 89.7)     0- 1      -10.18       4.79       0.01         0.51            -2.62
   0 A Princeton       ( 2- 8, 89.7)    16- 1      -10.18       4.79       0.01         0.51             4.94
   0 A Richmond        ( 6- 4, 91.5)    27- 0       -8.44       6.54       0.01         0.51             6.74
   0 A Akron           ( 3- 1, 90.6)    18- 3       -9.35       5.63       0.01         0.51             5.80
   0 A Sacred Heart    ( 1- 6, 88.4)    17- 4      -11.50       3.48       0.01         0.51             3.59
   0 A Sacred Heart    ( 1- 6, 88.4)    15- 5      -11.50       3.48       0.01         0.51             3.59
   0 A Sacred Heart    ( 1- 6, 88.4)    13- 0      -11.50       3.48       0.01         0.51             3.59
   0 A Coastal Caroli  (13- 7, 95.9)     6- 4       -3.98      10.99       0.01         0.51            11.33
   0 A Queens Univers  ( 4-16, 89.7)     9- 2      -10.21       4.76       0.01         0.51             4.91
   0 A Lafayette       ( 1- 9, 87.8)     6-11      -12.06       2.91       0.01         0.51            -3.10
   0 A Lafayette       ( 1- 9, 87.8)    10- 4      -12.06       2.91       0.01         0.51             3.01
   0 A Lafayette       ( 1- 9, 87.8)    14- 4      -12.06       2.91       0.01         0.51             3.01
   0 A Elon            ( 9-12, 93.1)     0- 2       -6.82       8.15       0.01         0.51            -1.75
   0 A Boston College  (12- 9, 95.5)     4- 2       -4.43      10.54       0.01         0.51            10.86
   0 A Boston College  (12- 9, 95.5)     5-12       -4.43      10.54       0.01         0.51            -1.14
   0 A Boston College  (12- 9, 95.5)     5- 1       -4.43      10.54       0.01         0.51            10.86
   0 H UNC Wilmington  (14- 7, 96.7)    14- 2       -3.22      11.75      -0.01         0.51            12.09
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       104.49

winning pts = 113.1027 losing points = -8.6109

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------